Metaculus — AI Forecasting Tournament

Grant Investigator: Carl Shulman

This page was reviewed but not written by the grant investigator. Metaculus staff also reviewed this page prior to publication.

Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $100,000 with Metaculus to support work related to forecasting the future of machine learning.

This falls within our focus area of potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence.

This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While we typically do not publish pages for contractor agreements, we occasionally opt to do so.

This contract was recommended by an external investigator, Carl Shulman. External investigators are not full-time staff. Grants and contracts recommended by external investigators go through our standard process where reasoning and recommendations are discussed in detail with Open Philanthropy decision-makers. External investigators are prohibited from recommending grants to or contracts with organizations they are affiliated with.