• Focus Areas
    • Cause Selection
    • Global Health & Wellbeing
      • Effective Altruism Community Growth (Global Health and Wellbeing)
      • Farm Animal Welfare
      • Global Aid Policy
      • Global Health & Development
      • Scientific Research
      • South Asian Air Quality
    • Longtermism
      • Biosecurity & Pandemic Preparedness
      • Effective Altruism Community Growth (Longtermism)
      • Potential Risks from Advanced AI
    • Other Areas
      • Criminal Justice Reform
      • History of Philanthropy
      • Immigration Policy
      • Land Use Reform
      • Macroeconomic Stabilization Policy
  • Grants
  • Research & Updates
    • Research Reports
    • Blog Posts
    • Notable Lessons
    • In the News
  • About Us
    • Grantmaking Process
    • How to Apply for Funding
    • Team
    • Contact Us
    • Stay Updated
  • We’re hiring!
  • Focus Areas
    • Cause Selection
    • Global Health & Wellbeing
      • Effective Altruism Community Growth (Global Health and Wellbeing)
      • Farm Animal Welfare
      • Global Aid Policy
      • Global Health & Development
      • Scientific Research
      • South Asian Air Quality
    • Longtermism
      • Biosecurity & Pandemic Preparedness
      • Effective Altruism Community Growth (Longtermism)
      • Potential Risks from Advanced AI
    • Other Areas
      • Criminal Justice Reform
      • History of Philanthropy
      • Immigration Policy
      • Land Use Reform
      • Macroeconomic Stabilization Policy
  • Grants
  • Research & Updates
    • Research Reports
    • Blog Posts
    • Notable Lessons
    • In the News
  • About Us
    • Grantmaking Process
    • How to Apply for Funding
    • Team
    • Contact Us
    • Stay Updated
  • We’re hiring!

Good Judgment Inc. — COVID-19 Forecasting

Visit Grantee Site
  • Focus Area: Biosecurity & Pandemic Preparedness
  • Organization Name: Good Judgment Inc.
  • Amount: $75,500

  • Award Date: March 2020

Table of Contents


    Grant Investigator: Luke Muehlhauser

    This page was reviewed but not written by the grant investigator. Good Judgment Inc. staff also reviewed this page prior to publication.


    Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $75,500 with Good Judgment Inc. to expand its efforts to aggregate, publish, and track forecasts about the COVID-19 outbreak with the hope that the forecasts can help improve planning by health security professionals and the broader public, limit the spread of the virus, and save lives. The forecasts are aggregated each day from the most accurate 1-2% of forecasters from a large-scale, government-funded series of forecasting tournaments, plus an annual uptake of a handful of top performers from the nearly 40,000 forecasters on Good Judgement Open.

    This is related to our broader work on biosecurity and pandemic preparedness. This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While we typically do not publish pages for contractor agreements, we occasionally opt to do so.

    The grant amount was updated in June and October 2020, and in January 2021.

    Related Items

    • Biosecurity & Pandemic Preparedness

      SecureBio — Biosecurity Research

      Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of $1,420,937 over three years to SecureBio to support their research on reducing risks from advanced biotechnology. This falls within our focus area...

      Read more
    • Biosecurity & Pandemic Preparedness

      Oliver Crook — Travel Grant for Biological Attribution Event

      Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of $4,553 to Oliver Crook to support his travel to an event on biological attribution bringing together government policymakers and technical experts. This falls within our focus area...

      Read more
    • Biosecurity & Pandemic Preparedness

      Harvard University — Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics

      Open Philanthropy recommended a grant of $190,000 to Harvard University to support the Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, a research center focusing on epidemiology and infectious disease modeling. This...

      Read more
    Back to Grants Database
    Open Philanthropy
    Open Philanthropy
    • Careers
    • Press Kit
    • Governance
    • Privacy Policy
    • Stay Updated
    Mailing Address
    Open Philanthropy
    182 Howard Street #225
    San Francisco, CA 94105
    Email
    [email protected]
    Media Inquiries
    [email protected]
    Anonymous Feedback
    Feedback Form

    © Open Philanthropy 2022 Except where otherwise noted, this work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial 4.0 International License. If you'd like to translate this content into another language, please get in touch!