Open Philanthropy recommended a contract of $150,000 with Good Judgment Inc. to commission public forecasts related to the H5N1 (bird flu) virus. These forecasts will be made by “superforecasters” (people with a strong track record of making accurate predictions).
This follows our March 2020 contract for COVID-19 forecasts.
This project was supported through a contractor agreement. While we typically do not publish pages for contractor agreements, we occasionally opt to do so.